KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Davis Thompson beats Smotherman and Schenk (99%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 8:25 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Davis Thompson beats Smotherman and Schenk
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Austin Smotherman beats Thompson and Schenk42%
Davis Thompson beats Smotherman and Schenk99%
Adam Schenk beats Smotherman and Thompson0%
Davis Thompson beats Smotherman and SchenkWon
Austin Smotherman beats Thompson and SchenkLost
Adam Schenk beats Smotherman and ThompsonLost
Rules
If Davis Thompson is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Davis Thompson, Austin Smotherman, and Adam Schenk in the 2nd round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout Withdrawal Rule If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Davis Thompson beats Smotherman and Schenk
- If Davis Thompson is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Davis Thompson, Austin Smotherman, and Adam Schenk in the 2nd round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Austin Smotherman beats Thompson and Schenk
- If Austin Smotherman is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Austin Smotherman, Davis Thompson, and Adam Schenk in the 2nd round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Adam Schenk beats Smotherman and Thompson
- If Adam Schenk is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Adam Schenk, Austin Smotherman, and Davis Thompson in the 2nd round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
