KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Emiliano Grillo beats Hadwin and Skinns (99%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 8:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Emiliano Grillo beats Hadwin and Skinns
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 7:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
David Skinns beats Grillo and Hadwin20%
Emiliano Grillo beats Hadwin and Skinns99%
Adam Hadwin beats Grillo and Skinns5%
Emiliano Grillo beats Hadwin and SkinnsWon
Adam Hadwin beats Grillo and SkinnsLost
David Skinns beats Grillo and HadwinLost
Rules
If Emiliano Grillo is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Emiliano Grillo, Adam Hadwin, and David Skinns in the 1st round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout Withdrawal Rule If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Emiliano Grillo beats Hadwin and Skinns
- If Emiliano Grillo is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Emiliano Grillo, Adam Hadwin, and David Skinns in the 1st round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Adam Hadwin beats Grillo and Skinns
- If Adam Hadwin is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Adam Hadwin, Emiliano Grillo, and David Skinns in the 1st round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Skinns beats Grillo and Hadwin
- If David Skinns is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among David Skinns, Emiliano Grillo, and Adam Hadwin in the 1st round of the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.