KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (84%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 3:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 84%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 3:15 PMAug 21, 26, 3:30 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes16%
No84%
84%
16%
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Aug 21, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on August 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 4 decimal places.
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above+39.0pt99%
- $70,000 or above+19.0pt99%
- $70,500 or above+28.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?
- ↑ 77,500+77.6pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+77.7pt100%
- ↑ 72,500+88.0pt100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
- ↑ 70,000+29.4pt100%
+41 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 21?
- 52,000100%
- 54,000100%
- 56,000100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in August?
- ↑ 2,400+49.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,300+96.9pt100%
- ↑ 2,200+92.5pt100%
+31 more outcomes
KALSHIHow high will BTC get in August?
- Above $75,000.00+63.0pt99%
- Above $72,500.00+22.0pt99%
- Above $95,000.0099%
+15 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.7M
- What price will XRP hit in August?
- What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on August 21?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?
- When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
- What price will Solana hit in August?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NEAR 15 min · $1.9274 target?
- Kalshi prices No at 84% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does NEAR 15 min · $1.9274 target resolve?
- NEAR 15 min · $1.9274 target is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is NEAR 15 min · $1.9274 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 11:30 AM EDT on Aug 21, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 11:15 AM EDT on August 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.