KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points (50%)
Resolved: Nov 7, 2026, 3:34 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 7, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points50%
New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points66%
New Mexico wins by over 7.5 points41%
New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points54%
New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points58%
New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points37%
New Mexico wins by over 13.5 points24%
Nevada wins by over 6.5 points13%
New Mexico wins by over 23.5 points6%
New Mexico wins by over 20.5 points9%
New Mexico wins by over 17.5 points12%
New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points18%
New Mexico wins by over 10.5 points31%
Nevada wins by over 2.5 points22%
Nevada wins by over 3.5 points17%
Nevada wins by over 4.5 points14%
Nevada wins by over 7.5 points9%
Nevada wins by over 9.5 points8%
Nevada wins by over 10.5 points6%
Nevada wins by over 13.5 points5%
Nevada wins by over 14.5 points3%
New Mexico wins by over 2.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 4.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 6.5 pointsWon
New Mexico wins by over 7.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 9.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 10.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 13.5 pointsLost
Nevada wins by over 2.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 14.5 pointsLost
Nevada wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
Nevada wins by over 4.5 pointsLost
Nevada wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 17.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 20.5 pointsLost
Nevada wins by over 7.5 pointsLost
Nevada wins by over 9.5 pointsLost
New Mexico wins by over 23.5 pointsLost
Nevada wins by over 10.5 pointsLost
Nevada wins by over 13.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If New Mexico wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- New Mexico wins by over 2.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 3.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 4.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 4.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 6.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 7.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 9.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 9.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 10.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 10.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 13.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 13.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 2.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 14.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 3.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 4.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 4.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 6.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 17.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 17.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 20.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 20.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 7.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 9.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 9.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Mexico wins by over 23.5 points
- If New Mexico wins by more than 23.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 10.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 10.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 13.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 13.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada wins by over 14.5 points
- If Nevada wins by more than 14.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
