KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityabove $1.999 99%Leader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$3.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 3, 26, 9:00 PMJul 10, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
above $1.99999%
Related Markets
Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 6, 2026?
$29.8KAbove $67.99: 66%KALSHI
KALSHI
Gold price on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$9.6Kabove $4178: 54%KALSHI
KALSHI
Brent crude oil price on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$9.4Kabove $72: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 6?
$1.2KUp: 77%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on July 6?
$352.2$63: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 6?
$335.3Up: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%Blockchain.News
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran strikes as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 81.5%Blockchain.News
Why a selloff in gold and silver is dragging bitcoin downCoindesk
Tether putting $23 billion gold stockpile to work with bullion-backed loansCoindeskHormuz reopening cools oil shock as Polymarket no-cut 2026 Fed odds dipBlockchain.NewsHormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.NewsRules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDQ6 contract on July 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 0.999 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 5 business days before the current contract's last trading day.
- For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 5 business days prior to the expiry date.
- The settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date.
- For example, while the pyth feed may describe BRENTM6 by its April 30th, 2026 expiration date, the settlement contract is listed as June 2026 to align with the official exchange-designated delivery month for the "M" code.The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.