KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityabove $4178 52%Leader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.4K
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
2.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 3, 26, 9:00 AMJul 6, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
above $417852%
Related Markets
Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 6, 2026?
$34.6KAbove $67.99: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Jul 7, 2026?
$11.5KAbove $71.99: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Silver price on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$8.9Kabove $63.50: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 6?
$1.8KUp: 77%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
$290.6Up: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 6?
$236.7Up: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
U.S.-Iran strikes lift oil, Polymarket puts Hormuz normalization at 38.5%Blockchain.News
Oil jumps on U.S.-Iran strikes as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 81.5%Blockchain.News
Why a selloff in gold and silver is dragging bitcoin downCoindesk
Tether putting $23 billion gold stockpile to work with bullion-backed loansCoindeskHormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Gold, silver and bitcoin tumble as debasement trade unwindsCoindeskRules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3978 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on July 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3988 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.