PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityUp 79%+0.3%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$764.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
76.0% / 81.0%
Spread
6.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 12:00 PMJul 6, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Up79%
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on July 6, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on July 6, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50.