KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 66%
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10
Low liquidityBid / Ask
41.0% / 48.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 10:09 PM UTCDec 15, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Black Panther 3 will not be, or has not been, in wide release in the United States by December 15, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+12.0pt96%
- Above 50+33.0pt95%
- Above 55+41.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $302.4K
- 24h Vol
- $50.7K
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 84+42.0pt54%
- Above 8252%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.7K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $87.9K
- 24h Vol
- $166.2
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 119-8.0pt45%
- Above 12539%
- Above 12736%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.7K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- above 13,500,00090%
- above 13,750,00080%
- above 14,000,00074%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $125.4K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- No+1.4pt96%
- Yes-1.4pt4%
- Total Vol
- $3.9K
- 24h Vol
- —
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Black Panther 3 be delayed??
- Kalshi prices No at 66% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Black Panther 3 be delayed? resolve?
- Will Black Panther 3 be delayed? is scheduled to resolve on December 15, 2028.
- How is Will Black Panther 3 be delayed? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Black Panther 3 will not be, or has not been, in wide release in the United States by December 15, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.