KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 3:55 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Parker Messick: 16+1%
Hagen Smith: 7+30%
Parker Messick: 16+Lost
Hagen Smith: 7+Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Parker Messick has 16+ outs recorded in the Cleveland vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Parker Messick is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Parker Messick is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
- If Parker Messick is a starting pitcher and records at least one pitch the market will settle based on outs recorded.
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