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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. What will Mamdani say during his announcement?
What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

What will Mamdani say during his announcement?

One-Off21d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability 40%
Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$7.2

Liquidity

$7.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

24.0% / 58.0%

Spread

141.7%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jun 12, 26, 10:00 PMJul 4, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Afford / Affordable / Affordability40%

Rules

If Zohran Mamdani says Muslim / Islam as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

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Rules

If Zohran Mamdani says Muslim / Islam as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.