KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Nov 11, 2026, 4:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Below 30°F · —
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Stored price
Below 30°F 49.5%
Below 30°F 49.5%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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Below 30°FSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 11, 26, 3:30 AM UTCNov 16, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Below 30°F
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Providence (KPVD) for Nov 12 to 15, 2026 (inclusive, America/New_York local calendar dates), is less than 30° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The period minimum is the lowest of the official daily minimum temperatures for every local calendar date in the specified period, including both endpoints. Do not substitute hourly samples or calculate a final period minimum from incomplete daily reports. The nor’easter reference is descriptive only; all temperatures in the specified window count regardless of weather-system attribution. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- Below 30°F
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Providence (KPVD) for Nov 12 to 15, 2026 (inclusive, America/New_York local calendar dates), is less than 30° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 32°F
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Providence (KPVD) for Nov 12 to 15, 2026 (inclusive, America/New_York local calendar dates), is less than 32° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 34°F
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Providence (KPVD) for Nov 12 to 15, 2026 (inclusive, America/New_York local calendar dates), is less than 34° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 36°F
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Providence (KPVD) for Nov 12 to 15, 2026 (inclusive, America/New_York local calendar dates), is less than 36° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 38°F
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Providence (KPVD) for Nov 12 to 15, 2026 (inclusive, America/New_York local calendar dates), is less than 38° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.