KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 5:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability69° or below 95.2%+92.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$47.2K
Liquidity
$37K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 26, 26, 2:00 PMJul 28, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$47.2kJul 263d of dataJul 28
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If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago for Jul 27, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMDW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lot, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Chicago - Midway, IL" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.