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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. What will the cast say on Love Island Episode 1?
What will the cast say on Love Island Episode 1?

What will the cast say on Love Island Episode 1?

One-Off
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Ex (99%)

Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, 2:01 PM

Winning Outcome

Ex

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Ex
Ex 99%
Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$3.3K

Liquidity

$2.8K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 10 days ago

Stale
Jun 2, 26, 2:00 PMJun 3, 26, 8:31 AM

Probability Timeline

Ex99%
Bombshell3%
Loyal / Loyalty6%
Ick99%
Drama8%
Firepit9%
IG / Instagram / TikTok4%
Prize / 100k / 100,0009%
Dump / Dumped99%
Hideaway3%
Mog / Mogged / Mogging5%
Fiji99%
Paralympic / Paralympian99%
Charlie99%
Official / Exclusive9%
Casa Amor3%
Peacock1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 3Jun 3Jun 3
Outcome24hChance
Ex
Ex
99%
Bombshell
Bombshell
-76.0%
1%
Loyal / Loyalty
Loyal / Loyalty
1%
Ick
Ick
99%
Drama
Drama
-46.0%
1%
Firepit
Firepit
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If any participating contestant (excluding host) says Mog / Mogged / Mogging as part of Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 1 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 1 will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

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Rules

If any participating contestant (excluding host) says Mog / Mogged / Mogging as part of Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 1 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 1 will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.