LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season
2.0% (24h)One-OffSportsBasketball3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 5%-2.0%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$35.5K
Liquidity
$634.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jun 13, 25, 8:45 PMOct 31, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes5%
Also available on Polymarket
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
0.5%3mo
2%
98%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$219.1K
24h Vol$370.6
POLYMARKET
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will LeBron retire before the 2026 season
3mo
1%
99%
Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.1K
24h Vol$805.8
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If LeBron James announces their retirement before the date of the first 2026-27 season regular season game, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market will resolve to Yes if LeBron James announces his retirement prior to the start of 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season.
- Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement.
- This market applies to retiring from the league, not the sport as a whole.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If LeBron James announces their retirement before the date of the first 2026-27 season regular season game, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market will resolve to Yes if LeBron James announces his retirement prior to the start of 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season.
- Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement.
- This market applies to retiring from the league, not the sport as a whole.