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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

0.3% (24h)One-OffSportsBasketball4mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 12%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$2.4K

Liquidity

$3.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

9.4% / 13.8%

Spread

46.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.8%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Dec 2, 25, 6:28 PMOct 21, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes12%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.
  • Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.
  • Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.