PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 99%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$121
Liquidity
$7.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.6% / 0.7%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-1.6 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Dec 2, 25, 6:25 PMOct 21, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes1%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will LeBron retire before the 2026 season
2mo
99%
1%
Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Kalshi
LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season
1.0 pts3mo
99%
-1.0pt1%
86 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$3.1M
24h Vol$5.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.
- Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k99.0%KALSHINo14h ago
KALSHINo14h ago$3.8k99.0%KALSHINo2d ago
KALSHINo2d ago$3.0k99.0%KALSHINo3d ago
KALSHINo3d ago$4.6k99.0%KALSHINo3d ago
KALSHINo3d ago$1.6k98.9%POLYMARKETNoMomolly3d ago
POLYMARKETNoMomolly3d ago$1.1k99.0%KALSHINo3d ago
KALSHINo3d ago$3.5k98.0%KALSHINo3d ago
KALSHINo3d ago$9.8k98.0%KALSHINo3d ago
KALSHINo3d agoVolume trend
$121Jul 226d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.
- Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.