Current implied probability
PSG 94%-1.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4
Liquidity
$3.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 92.0%
Spread
7.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 5, 26, 1:30 AMOct 9, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
PSG94%
Volume trend
$4Jul 55d of dataJul 13
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If Joao Neves's next club is Atletico before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Joao Neves signs a contract to join Atletico, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent.
- If Joao Neves signs with a club and is immediately loaned out, the signing club resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- The market resolves to Yes if Joao Neves is loaned to Atletico (temporary transfer of registration).
- If Joao Neves is currently signed to Atletico, the market resolves to Yes if re-signs or extends his contract with Atletico, or remains with the club without transferring.
- The market resolves to Yes if an official agreement is announced for Joao Neves to join Atletico at a future date (e.g., a pre-contract or transfer effective in a future window).