Current implied probability
Aston Villa 41%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$773.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 40.0%
Spread
25.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 16, 26, 2:00 PMOct 9, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Aston Villa41%
Volume trend
$30Jul 64d of dataJul 11
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If James Trafford's next club is Aston Villa before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if James Trafford signs a contract to join Aston Villa, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent.
- If James Trafford signs with a club and is immediately loaned out, the signing club resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- The market resolves to Yes if James Trafford is loaned to Aston Villa (temporary transfer of registration).
- If James Trafford is currently signed to Aston Villa, the market resolves to Yes if re-signs or extends his contract with Aston Villa, or remains with the club without transferring.
- The market resolves to Yes if an official agreement is announced for James Trafford to join Aston Villa at a future date (e.g., a pre-contract or transfer effective in a future window).