KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (95%)
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 2:00 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Yes 95%
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
94.3% / 95.8%
Spread
1.5 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingSep 21, 26, 1:45 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes95%
No5%
95%
5%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSDRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Sep 21, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSDRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on September 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 4 decimal places.
Open markets
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 21?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000+0.1pt100%
- 72,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $80,000 or above99%
- $80,250 or above99%
- $79,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 21, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $85,200 or above99%
- $85,100 or above99%
- $85,000 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 85,000+66.5pt100%
- ↑ 82,500+37.5pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
+30 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 85,000+20.9pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
+43 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $85,189.42 target
- Yes100%
- No0%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $584.5K
- BTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 21?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 22?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- ETH price on Sep 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 21-27?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 21?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for HYPE 15 min · $94.5583 target?
- Kalshi prices Yes at 95% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does HYPE 15 min · $94.5583 target resolve?
- HYPE 15 min · $94.5583 target is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is HYPE 15 min · $94.5583 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSDRTI before 10:00 AM EDT on Sep 21, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSDRTI before 9:45 AM EDT on September 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.