KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 6:41 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 21, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Trends
Category 1 or aboveLost
Category 2 or aboveLost
Category 3 or aboveLost
Category 4 or aboveLost
Category 5 or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Norbert reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.
- If Norbert reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 96 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Norbert reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Norbert reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Norbert reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.
