This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
71° to 72° 1%-25.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$38.9K
Liquidity
$30.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 2, 26, 2:00 PMJul 4, 26, 8:00 AM
Trends
1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 4?
14.5%2h
-1.0%40%
+14.5%38%
-2.5%14%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$18.3K
24h Vol$10.7K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 3, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 3, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.