KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 95° to 96° (98%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 2:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
95° to 96° 93.3%+60.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$271.5K
Liquidity
$290.8K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
91° to 92°24%
90° or below63%
93° to 94°6%
95° to 96°98%
97° to 98°1%
99° or above1%
93.3%
2.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Sep 16, 2026, is less than 91° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
- $78,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $995.6K
- 24h Vol
- $992.4K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $80,450.20 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Total Vol
- $894.4K
- 24h Vol
- $427.2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $508.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 200-219+9.0pt36.3%
- 180-19935.3%
- 220-239+4.0pt15.7%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $79,900 or above99%
- $79,700 or above99%
- $79,800 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $277.1K
- 24h Vol
- $220.7K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+12.5pt67.3%
- <40-8.0pt16.8%
- 65-89-4.0pt13.9%
+7 more outcomes
- ETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- Where will it rain on Sep 20, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Google market share this week
- ETH price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 20, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 16, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 95° to 96° at 93% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 16, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 16, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 16, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Sep 16, 2026, is less than 91° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.