Current implied probability
93° or above 3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 5, 26, 2:00 PMJul 7, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
93° or above3%
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 6, 2026, is less than 85° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Minneapolis/St Paul, MN" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.