Current implied probability
97° to 98° 5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$23.8K
Liquidity
$12.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 3, 26, 2:00 PMJul 5, 26, 5:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
97° to 98°5%
Related Markets
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 4, 2026?
$95.5K75° or above: 18%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
$74KNew York City: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?
$48K98° to 99°: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 5?
$35.1K31°C: 46%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
$33.9K30°C: 51%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 5?
$33.6K32°C: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Together AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.News
NVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
NVIDIA Adds Vulkan Descriptor Heaps Support, Boosting GPU PerformanceBlockchain.News
Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta is working on a points-based prediction market app: reportCrypto News
AI chipmaker Cerebras down 11% after first public earnings reportCoindesk
Meta is developing a prediction market app called ‘Arena’ as sector booms: NYTCoindeskRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Boston for Jul 4, 2026, is less than 91° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIBOS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=box, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Boston (Logan Airport), MA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.