Current implied probability
94° or above 3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$901.1
Liquidity
$773.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 4.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 2:00 PMJul 17, 26, 5:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
94° or above3%
Compare venues· 90° to 91°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 44% | — | $4.8K | $54.5K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Low | 49% | — | $901.1 | $773.7 | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 16?
15h
44%
26%
20%
+8 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.8K
24h Vol$4.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 86° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIATL can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=ffc, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Atlanta, GA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 86° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIATL can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=ffc, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Atlanta, GA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.