This market resolved: 87° or above (99%)
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, 12:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
87° or above
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability87° or above 95.2%+82.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$118.7K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleJun 28, 26, 2:00 PMJun 30, 26, 4:59 AM
Probability Timeline
85° to 86°1%
87° or above99%
83° to 84°1%
79° to 80°1%
81° to 82°1%
78° or below1%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 87° or above
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall92% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $2.3K | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis pageMost active | Low | 99% | — | $118.7K | $1.1K | 27 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on June 29?
56.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
86-87°F (100%)
+56.5pt100%
-0.1pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+8 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$109.3K
24h Vol$2.3K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 79°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 79°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for June 29, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.