Current implied probability
93° to 94° 41%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$618.2
Liquidity
$602.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 41.0%
Spread
2.5%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 2:00 PMJul 17, 26, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
93° to 94°41%
Compare venues· 93° to 94°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | High | 56% | — | $20.6K | $78.7K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Medium | 41% | — | $618.2 | $602.1 | 18 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Denver on July 16?
16h
56%
28%
12%
+8 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$20.6K
24h Vol$20.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 89°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 89-90°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k52.2%POLYMARKETWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16? — Yesneo77774h ago
POLYMARKETWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16? — Yesneo77774h agoRelated Markets
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If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 89°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 89-90°, then the market resolves to Yes.