KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 98° to 99° (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 12:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
98° to 99° 95.2%+64.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$58.2K
Liquidity
$49.4K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
100° to 101°1%
98° to 99°99%
96° to 97°2%
102° to 103°1%
95° or below1%
104° or above1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Sep 16, 2026, is less than 96° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
- $78,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $995.6K
- 24h Vol
- $992.4K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $80,450.20 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Total Vol
- $894.4K
- 24h Vol
- $427.2K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $508.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 200-219+9.0pt36.3%
- 180-19935.3%
- 220-239+4.0pt15.7%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $79,900 or above99%
- $79,700 or above99%
- $79,800 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $277.1K
- 24h Vol
- $220.7K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+12.5pt67.3%
- <40-8.0pt16.8%
- 65-89-4.0pt13.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
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- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 16, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 98° to 99° at 95% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 16, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 16, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 16, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Sep 16, 2026, is less than 96° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.