KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedAwaiting verified resolution: Yes
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$100.6K
Liquidity
$43.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.8% / 99.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 25, 26, 6:30 AM UTCSep 25, 26, 6:45 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 25, 2026 at 2:45 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 2:30 AM EDT on September 25, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.9M
- 24h Vol
- $181.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.320099%
- Above 4.4400+11.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+4.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $402.7K
- 24h Vol
- $118.2K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 25, 2026?
- Above $86.49+7.0pt99%
- Above $85.9999%
- Above $84.99+3.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.5K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt38%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+8.0pt36%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt21%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
- Iran Reconstruction Funding-0.5pt17%
- ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)+2.0pt16%
- 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium-3.0pt14%
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $86.9999%
- Above $90.99+19.0pt98%
- Above $78.9997%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $84.7K
- 24h Vol
- Diesel prices this week
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 25, 2026?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- Gold price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US SPR level for the week ending September 25, 2026
- Natural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Gas prices in the US in Sep 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- When does Gold 15 min · $4,274.99 target resolve?
- Gold 15 min · $4,274.99 target is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Gold 15 min · $4,274.99 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 25, 2026 at 2:45 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 2:30 AM EDT on September 25, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.