KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 1:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the value of the GBP/USD exchange rate is at least the value of the GBP/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 9:30 AM EDT on October 21, 2026 At 9:45 AM EDT on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - GBPUSD
- The market resolves based on the Close price of the GBP/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network At 9:45 AM EDT on Oct 21, 2026.
- The Target Price of the value of the GBP/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at 9:30 AM EDT on October 21, 2026 equals the value of the GBP/USD exchange rate as published by Pyth Network at the opening of the 15-minute window. "Above" means strictly greater than ( ).
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- Rounding to 5 decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified.
- If an Expiration Value cannot be determined at the specified time, the market may be resolved pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process under Rule 7.1, including by reference to a substantially equivalent replacement feed published by the Source Agency.