KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Extreme Fear (99%)
Resolved: Oct 17, 2026, 2:56 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Extreme Fear
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
16%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 2:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Neutral1%
Fear6%
Extreme Fear99%
Extreme FearWon
NeutralLost
FearLost
GreedLost
Extreme GreedLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CNN Fear & Greed Index
- If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026 is Neutral, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026 is Greed, then the market resolves to Yes.