KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Leones wins by more than 2.5 goals (99%)
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 6:28 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Libertad Loja wins by more than 1.5 goals2%
Leones wins by more than 2.5 goals99%
Libertad Loja wins by more than 2.5 goals1%
Leones wins by more than 1.5 goals99%
Leones wins by more than 3.5 goals1%
Leones wins by more than 2.5 goalsWon
Before close: 27% ·
Leones wins by more than 1.5 goalsLost
Before close: 80% ·
Libertad Loja wins by more than 2.5 goalsLost
Before close: 2% ·
Libertad Loja wins by more than 1.5 goalsLost
Before close: 1% ·
Leones wins by more than 3.5 goalsLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Leones wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Leones vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
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Rules for each outcome
- Leones wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Leones wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Leones vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Leones wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Leones wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Leones vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Libertad Loja wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Libertad Loja wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Leones vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Libertad Loja wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Libertad Loja wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Leones vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Leones wins by more than 3.5 goals
- If Leones wins by more than 3.5 goals in the Leones vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.