KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Manta (99%)
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 10:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Manta
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Manta 98%+61.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$999.7K
Liquidity
$706K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 12:37 AM UTCSep 22, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Orense35%
Tie1%
Manta99%
98%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Manta wins the Manta vs Orense professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Manta vs Orense professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
SoccerKALSHISmith vs Winter
- Keegan Smith85.9%
- Edward Winter14.1%
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona+2.0pt22.1%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.5%
- Arsenal13.5%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $37.8M
- 24h Vol
- $581.3K
KALSHICentral Espanol vs Montevideo City
- Montevideo City+50.0pt98%
- Central Espanol-30.0pt1%
- Tie1%
- Total Vol
- $584K
KALSHICentral Espanol vs Montevideo City: Total Goals
- Over 3.5 goals scored99%
- Over 1.5 goals scored99%
- Over 2.5 goals scored99%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $299.5K
- 24h Vol
- $265.4K
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane+0.7pt57.4%
- Lamine Yamal-1.3pt20.8%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.1pt7.9%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIWho will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
- Harry Kane+2.0pt57%
- Lamine Yamal+2.0pt23%
- Kylian Mbappe+1.0pt9%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Manta vs Orense?
- Kalshi prices Manta at 98% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Manta vs Orense resolve?
- Manta vs Orense is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Manta vs Orense settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Manta wins the Manta vs Orense professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.