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  3. 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA
46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

38.0% (24h)SportsChessOne-Off3mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Hikaru Nakamura
Hikaru Nakamura 70%+38.0%
Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality

32 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.5

Liquidity

$49.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 50.0%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

May 4, 26, 8:00 PMSep 29, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Hikaru Nakamura70%

Rules

If John Donaldson is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether John Donaldson is selected to the team as either a captain or a player.
  • If they are selected but do not end up participating in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes.
  • If Hikaru Nakamura is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market resolves based on whether Hikaru Nakamura is selected to the team as either a captain or a player.

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Rules

If John Donaldson is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether John Donaldson is selected to the team as either a captain or a player.
  • If they are selected but do not end up participating in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes.
  • If Hikaru Nakamura is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • This market resolves based on whether Hikaru Nakamura is selected to the team as either a captain or a player.