KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMaintain current rate 69%+3.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$411
Liquidity
$11.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
67.0% / 70.0%
Spread
4.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 5, 26, 7:45 PMAug 31, 26, 12:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Maintain current rate69%
Compare venues· Maintain current rate
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall82% match · auto | High | 76% | — | $8.5K | $20K | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Medium | 69% | — | $411 | $11.8K | 22 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Bank of Israel decision in August?
6.5%1mo
+6.5%76%
-4.0%23%
-2.0%2%
+2 more outcomes
77 • High qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$16.4K
24h Vol$8.5K
POLYMARKETRules
If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the August Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k95.0%KALSHIHike 1-25bps — No19d ago
KALSHIHike 1-25bps — No19d agoVolume trend
$411Jul 521d of dataJul 26
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If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the August Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).