KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
By May 14, 2027 80%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.9K
Liquidity
$8.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Aug 24, 26, 10:45 PM UTCOct 3, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Aug 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Sep 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.