KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Tommy Paul 69.6%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Tommy Paul 69.6%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$625.7
Open interest
$625.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
29.0% / 31.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 28, 26, 12:20 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Tommy Paul69.6%
Luciano Darderi30.4%
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KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Tommy Paul
- If Tommy Paul wins set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Luciano Darderi
- If Luciano Darderi wins set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.