KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Lorenzo Musetti (99%)
Resolved: Oct 19, 2026, 4:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Lorenzo Musetti
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Lorenzo Musetti99%
Matteo Arnaldi1%
Lorenzo MusettiWon
Matteo ArnaldiLost
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KalshiRules
If Lorenzo Musetti wins set 2 in the Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Lorenzo Musetti
- If Lorenzo Musetti wins set 2 in the Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Matteo Arnaldi
- If Matteo Arnaldi wins set 2 in the Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
