KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Daniil Medvedev -4.5 games 50%+4.0ptMarket line of 3 lines
Daniil Medvedev -4.5 games 50%+4.0ptMarket quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$607.3
Open interest
$679.6
Low open interestSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 4:06 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Daniil Medvedev -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniil Medvedev -4.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniil Medvedev -7.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 7.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.