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Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Tommy Paul -1.5 games · —
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Stored price
Tommy Paul -4.5 games 43.5%Market line of 3 lines
Tommy Paul -4.5 games 43.5%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Open interest
$2.5K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Tommy Paul -1.5 gamesSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 28, 26, 1:15 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Tommy Paul -1.5 games
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Tommy Paul -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tommy Paul -4.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tommy Paul -7.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 7.5 games in the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.