KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Karen Khachanov -2.5 games (31%)
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 12:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Winning Outcome
Karen Khachanov -2.5 games
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 12:03 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Karen Khachanov -2.5 games31%
Karen Khachanov -5.5 games55%
Tomas Machac -1.5 games1%
Karen Khachanov -2.5 gamesWon
Karen Khachanov -5.5 gamesLost
Tomas Machac -1.5 gamesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the game differential in favor of Karen Khachanov across the full match is above 2.5 games in the Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Karen Khachanov -2.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Karen Khachanov across the full match is above 2.5 games in the Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Karen Khachanov -5.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Karen Khachanov across the full match is above 5.5 games in the Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tomas Machac -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Tomas Machac across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.