KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games (89%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 12:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 12:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Andrey Rublev -3.5 games52%
Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games89%
Andrey Rublev -6.5 games13%
Adrian Mannarino -1.5 gamesWon
Andrey Rublev -3.5 gamesLost
Andrey Rublev -6.5 gamesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the game differential in favor of Adrian Mannarino across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Adrian Mannarino across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Andrey Rublev -3.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Andrey Rublev across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Andrey Rublev -6.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Andrey Rublev across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
