KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Pierre-Hugues Herbert -4.5 games (99%)
Resolved: Oct 20, 2026, 11:59 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -4.5 games
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -4.5 games99%
Sebastian Baez -1.5 games38%
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -1.5 games99%
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -4.5 gamesWon
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -1.5 gamesLost
Sebastian Baez -1.5 gamesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the game differential in favor of Pierre-Hugues Herbert across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert -4.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Pierre-Hugues Herbert across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Pierre-Hugues Herbert across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sebastian Baez -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Sebastian Baez across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
