KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Daniil Medvedev -2.5 games · —
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Stored price
Daniil Medvedev -2.5 games 54%Leader of 3 outcomes
Daniil Medvedev -2.5 games 54%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
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Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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Daniil Medvedev -2.5 gamesSpread
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Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Oct 13, 26, 5:15 AM UTCOct 28, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Daniil Medvedev -2.5 games
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiShanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
PolymarketDaniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
LimitlessRules
If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 2.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Daniil Medvedev -2.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 2.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Stefanos Tsitsipas across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniil Medvedev -5.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 5.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
