KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 300K 60%-23.0%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.6K
Liquidity
$49K
High liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 60.0%
Spread
3.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PMAug 9, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 300K60%
Volume trend
$5.6kJul 225d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Music, Fashion, Film: First Week Album Equivalent Units
$23.3KAbove 80K: 18%KALSHI
KALSHILittle Miss Twain: First Week Album Equivalent Units
$6.1KAbove 20K: 29%KALSHI
KALSHIA*POP: First Week Album Equivalent Units
$5.4KAbove 20K: 18%KALSHI
KALSHIReality Awaits: First Week Album Equivalent Units
$2.8KAbove 30K: 24%KALSHI
KALSHILost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units
$978Above 100K: 13%KALSHI
KALSHIWILD: First Week Album Equivalent Units
$274.8Above 100K: 50%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
KuCoin Streams Tomorrowland Belgium 2026 Live to Its App as Exchanges Target Festival CultureBlockchain Reporter
'The Odyssey' Director Chris Nolan: Young Audiences are Rejecting 'AI Slop'Decrypt
Character.AI Launches (c.ai) Series, Blending Microdramas and ChatBlockchain.News
Sheeran serenades England as Polymarket Golden Ball odds stay split at 50%Blockchain.NewsRules
If petal by Ariana Grande has above 100K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026 tracking week.
- Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction market.
- If petal by Ariana Grande has above 150K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If petal by Ariana Grande has above 200K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If petal by Ariana Grande has above 250K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.