KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityAbove 300K 54%+9.0%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.7
Liquidity
$34.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 54.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 2:00 PMAug 9, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Above 300K54%
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Rules
If petal by Ariana Grande has above 100K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This market pertains to the U.S. and will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026 tracking week.
- Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction market.
- If petal by Ariana Grande has above 150K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If petal by Ariana Grande has above 200K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If petal by Ariana Grande has above 250K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.