GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Tigres UANL (64%)
Resolved: Oct 10, 2026, 5:09 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Toluca9%
Tigres UANL64%
Tie27%
Tigres UANLWon
TieLost
TolucaLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Toluca vs the named outcome
- This market resolves to Yes if Toluca wins the Liga MX match between Toluca and the named outcome scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)