GeminiClosedKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Ketel Marte 1+ Home Runs 10%
Market quality
0 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.4
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleSep 12, 26, 1:40 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 1:40 AM UTC
Trends
10%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs
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Manifold MarketsMLB Player Regular Season (2026) Home Runs
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PolymarketWill Shohei Ohtani hit at least 43 home runs in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
How many home runs will each player hit?
- If Ketel Marte records 1 or more Home Runs in the game between Texas and Arizona, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 9:40 PM, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the number of Home Runs recorded by the specified player for the specified game.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- If the player is listed as active but does not appear in the game, the Contract will resolve to the last fair price determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Once the player appears in the game, the Contract resolves based on the player's official Home Runs recorded as documented by the Source Agency.
