Current implied probability
Kyle Schwarber 100%+2.6ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$234
Liquidity
$57K
High liquiditySpread
2.5 pt
Moderate spreadComments
1
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 2, 26, 10:10 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs
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PolymarketChicago C vs Milwaukee: Home Runs
KalshiRules
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs?
- Polymarket prices Kyle Schwarber at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs resolve?
- MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs is scheduled to resolve on October 11, 2026.
- How is MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season.