KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Arizona 54.5%-2.0pt
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$67.7K
Liquidity
$65.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
54.0% / 55.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 12:25 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 12:10 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Texas wins the Texas vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Texas vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days).
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Arizona is 55%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Arizona 55% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Texas vs Arizona · Arizona 58%
- Also available on Futuur — Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers · Yes 54%
- Also available on Polymarket — Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · 2.5 76%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — MLB: Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks (Sep 11, 2026) · ARI 51%
Open markets
SportsKALSHIOklahoma vs Michigan
- Michigan+36.0pt70.3%
- Oklahoma-36.0pt29.7%
- Total Vol
- $9.5M
- 24h Vol
- $8.4M
KALSHIOklahoma vs Michigan: Spread
- Michigan wins by over 1.5 points+37.0pt68%
- Michigan wins by over 2.5 points+36.0pt67%
- Michigan wins by over 3.5 points+32.0pt58%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- Game 2 Winner+49.5pt100%
- Game 3 Winner+49.5pt100%
- O/U 3.5 Games+27.4pt100%
+61 more outcomes
KALSHIArizona St. vs Texas A&M
- Texas A&M+2.0pt88.1%
- Arizona St.-3.0pt11.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Shane Lowry+23.0pt69%
- Jacob Skov Olesen+19.0pt30%
- Daniel Brown10%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.6M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nfltotal 26 SEP 11 Sflar
- 17+3.0pt100%
- 20100%
- 23100%
+42 more outcomes
- Total Vol
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas vs Arizona?
- Kalshi prices Arizona at 54% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Texas vs Arizona resolve?
- Texas vs Arizona is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Texas vs Arizona settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Texas wins the Texas vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Texas vs Arizona listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Futuur, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).