Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 7:21 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 goals 20%Leader of 4 outcomes
Reg Time: Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 goals 20%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 17, 26, 8:30 PM UTCOct 18, 26, 8:30 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
What will the goal difference be?
- If Minnesota United FC beats St. Louis City SC by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Minnesota United FC's goals minus St. Louis City SC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
