Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 8:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
San Diego 44.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
San Diego 44.2%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 25, 26, 2:30 AM UTCOct 26, 26, 2:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
San Diego St. vs Colorado St.: Spread
KalshiSan Diego St. vs Colorado St.: Team Total
KalshiSan Diego St. vs Colorado St.: Total Points
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KalshiNCAA Football: San Diego State 2026 Win Total
PolymarketMo Salah completes a transfer to San Diego FC before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
Seattle vs the named outcome
- If the named outcome wins the Major League Soccer match between the named outcome and Seattle originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — San Diego vs. Seattle Sounders · San Diego 45%
- Also available on Polymarket — San Diego FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC · San Diego 43%
- Also available on Kalshi — San Diego FC vs Seattle · San Diego FC 43%
